Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.503133 6.665429e-01 0.853800 1.081077 1.346326 1.643135 1.997359
2025-03-23 0.305590 5.102369e-01 0.778849 1.142245 1.606488 2.166158 2.878130
2025-03-30 0.181835 3.923554e-01 0.709943 1.184549 1.838700 2.674694 3.789616
2025-04-06 0.102437 2.979791e-01 0.640123 1.202369 2.031009 3.142689 4.682081
2025-04-13 0.049211 2.120769e-01 0.551356 1.167228 2.135950 3.495072 5.440977
2025-04-20 0.023813 1.611109e-01 0.501588 1.176793 2.297697 3.927055 6.320302
2025-04-27 0.010283 1.231704e-01 0.460459 1.188371 2.456767 4.357859 7.211032
2025-05-04 0.002702 8.514924e-02 0.399573 1.148145 2.523268 4.651658 7.917227
2025-05-11 0.000277 5.638739e-02 0.343353 1.101253 2.568067 4.908859 8.574654
2025-05-18 0.000002 4.128612e-02 0.316533 1.107595 2.701073 5.302364 9.437269
2025-05-25 NaN 2.635821e-02 0.275955 1.072201 2.752660 5.567239 10.115814
2025-06-01 NaN 2.219726e-02 0.277081 1.135509 2.989568 6.133722 11.255200
2025-06-08 NaN 1.471958e-02 0.253306 1.133415 3.106410 6.518494 12.145287
2025-06-15 NaN 1.322028e-02 0.263670 1.223896 3.409540 7.219288 13.532733
2025-06-22 NaN 1.057086e-02 0.262669 1.282858 3.653808 7.830751 14.798345
2025-06-29 NaN 7.391056e-03 0.251153 1.309351 3.833905 8.340490 15.918922
2025-07-06 NaN 3.775035e-03 0.222083 1.276008 3.887698 8.637947 16.717215
2025-07-13 NaN 2.184442e-03 0.208852 1.288200 4.035939 9.099088 17.777873
2025-07-20 NaN 1.165809e-03 0.197004 1.301568 4.186147 9.566226 18.854779
2025-07-27 NaN 3.092147e-04 0.171483 1.259296 4.210486 9.813344 19.587813
2025-08-03 NaN 2.545706e-05 0.146650 1.209613 4.212143 10.017997 20.254862
2025-08-10 NaN 3.887846e-07 0.136976 1.216511 4.342635 10.454844 21.300612
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.118521 1.178845 4.364839 10.695567 22.032696